2022-23 NFL Playoff Picture: Week 18 Scenarios

(© imago images) DETROIT, MI – NOVEMBER 06: Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers 12 signals to his teammates at the line during the game between Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions on November 6, 2022 in Detroit, MI Allan Dranberg/CSM Detroit United States – Copyright: xAllanxDranberg

There’s only one weekend to go in the 2022-23 NFL regular season, leaving just a few scenarios left to be determined. Six teams have already claimed their spots in the NFC, while five are locked in for the AFC. Several teams who have already secured a playoff berth will also be vying for home field advantage, byes and division titles in the final week.

Below you will find a list of playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 18. The playoffs begin Jan. 14, 2023 with 14 teams, seven from each conference.


The Kansas City Chiefs have already locked in a first round bye and home field advantage through the playoffs with their 14-3 record. The Bills and Bengals have locked in the AFC East and North respectively.

The AFC South is up for grabs but only two teams are in the mix. The Jacksonville Jaguars currently hold the pole position with a record of 8-8, followed by the Tennessee Titans at 7-9. The two teams will be playing each other in basically a pre-playoff eliminator which will see the winner go through into the postseason.

The Wild Card spots in the AFC are in the possession of the Chargers (10-6), Ravens (10-6) and Patriots (8-8). The Chargers and Ravens are guaranteed to go through, while the Pats will be battling it out with the Steelers and Dolphins who are also heading into the weekend, 8-8.

If the Patriots win they are through or in the unlikely scenario that Miami and Pittsburgh both lose and Jacksonville wins. The Miami Dolphins will need to win and get a loss from the Patriots. The Steelers require a win plus losses from both the Patriots and Dolphins.


At the top of the NFC, the Philadelphia Eagles can cement their home field advantage and first round bye with a win against the New York Giants. The Cowboys or 49ers could come from behind and steal home field and the bye, if the Eagles lose and they win their respective games. If both the 49ers and Cowboys win and Phili loses, the 49ers will take pole position in the NFC due to tiebreakers.

Only the last Wild Card spot is up for grabs in the NFC, fought over by the Seattle Seahawks, Detroit Lions and Green Bay Packers. The Packers have the clearest shot at the spot, requiring just that they win their final game against the Lions.

Seattle on the other hand requires a loss from GB and a win against the LA Rams, while the Lions need to beat the Packers and the Seahawks to lose to the Rams.

Betting on Week 18 games is going to be thrilling this year. If you want to get in on the action, be sure to check out our list of the best NFL sports betting sites in Ontario.

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