You have to be careful when you follow up the news about the fight, as it can be both a blessing and a curse. MMA matches attract a lot of media noise, and false rumors can misguide you to a faulty prediction.
For MMA betting, finding a legit source of information is essential since your predictions will be based on the knowledge you have acquired from the media/internet. Sometimes it’s easier said than done because it can be challenging to figure out which factors will have an impact on the course of the fight. Let’s first check out some of the less important reports.
“The first fighter is from Russia. Russian fighters feel more comfortable fighting in this specific arena.”
“The second fighter suffered a severe injury during the pre-match preparations.”
Obviously, the first report is irrelevant to the outcome of the match. It’s a known fact that the media tends to exaggerate a lot when it comes to sports reports. If you want to make the most out of your MMA betting, you should be able to recognize the part of the news that is important, as well as the one that is a random ramble aimed to solely attract viewers.
However, report number 2 contains valuable information about the final result of the fight. Injuries can clearly have a tremendous effect on the fighter and only a few fighters are able to overcome it and win the fight. Let’s mention a couple more examples to clear things up even better.
“Fighter A had some personal issue with the trainer a couple of days before the fight.”
“Fighter B suffered ACL knee injury in a sparring match with his trainer.”
Report number 2 is highly important for all the reasons mentioned above. So, if you are sure that the report is valid, you should take it into consideration when making fight predictions.
On the other hand, report number 1 might be of no consequence at all for the match. This is mainly because most fighters care only about winning, and rarely get distracted by personal issues during the fight.
However, some fighters might perform worse when dealing with emotional problems, particularly when the family is involved. They lose focus because they are preoccupied with personal stuff, and that can cost them a win.
Finally, the main part of a successful MMA betting strategy is to distinguish irrelevant reports from the ones that will play a key role in the outcome of the the fight. This will help you make more accurate predictions, which leads us to our next topic.
As we pointed out earlier, people tend to be biased in favour of the fighters they love. Sometimes the fans don’t make rational predictions and place bets based on the random gossip from the media only because they want it to be true instead of paying more attention to all the facts.
If you want to be a successful bettor, you have to put your emotions aside and have an open-minded approach to the fight. Your favourite fighter isn’t going to win only because you badly want him to do so.
If you bump into a report that you feel is relevant, go for it, even if it means that you might miss out a better report later on.
If you notice a report that seems legit, make a run for it. But, start small at first and don’t get ahead of yourself since there are plenty of other fights to bet on. If you win the initial bet, you can make stronger bets afterward. Keep a close eye on the news. If the reports change, you can easily use the remaining of your budget or simply skip the fight and wait for the next one.
Separating valid from nonsense reports can be very challenging and demands close monitoring of the news. A part of our MMA betting strategy is to analyze other people’s predictions and to try to figure out what led them to make that particular bet.
Oftentimes, the media monitor bookmakers, and their assumptions and reports are based on the odds change. However, bookmakers present odds based on their own reports and don’t keep tabs on other bookmakers.
Bookmakers have similar odds only because they all want to maintain a competitive edge. Also, the number of bets taken at the particular sportsbook doesn’t affect the odds. Be that as it may, if you want to make the big bucks, even the slightest odds difference is important. That leads us to our next point.
If you want to make the most out of your MMA betting tactics, you should look into the odds from multiple bookmakers. It’s customary that different operators provide different odds for the same match.
Naturally, different subsidiaries from the same operator always provide the same odds. This means that you should check out different operators, not subsidiaries.
Every sportsbook has its own system and they all operate differently. Therefore, your job is to find the bookmaker with the best odds on the market.
This is quite obvious, but you need to watch out for the matches that involve superstars. Placing bets on underdogs might be a cost-effective strategy, but avoid betting against superstars — you might as well flush your money down the toilet.
Betting against fighters like Royce Gracie, Anderson Silva or Fedor Emelianenko would be absurd. Although it may have seemed a good bet because the odds against them were sky-high, it’s a bad idea to bet against great fighters who rarely lose.
The best thing you can do when it comes to MMA betting involving superstars is to avoid them. If you bet on them, the payout is miserable, and if you bet against them, you’ll never win. So, the smart way is to get away from overhyped matches and fighters as far as you can.
The best MMA betting approach is to look into the fighters’ skill set. Every professional MMA fighter has his or her own trademark style. Like in other sports, MMA fighters have to learn different skills.
They specialize in a selected few, but oftentimes they also learn multiple martial arts. Sometimes, a particular fighting style doesn’t match up well against others. In every sport, matchups are very important, and you should take them into account when making predictions. A Muay Thai specialist could own the boxer but perform poorly against a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu expert.
That said, it’s important to inform yourself about all the fighting styles and potential matchups if you want to make more accurate predictions.
Learn everything you can about the fighters. But first figure out what piece of information is insignificant and don’t waste your time.
If the fighters are training with former champs or world-known fighters, they’ll usually perform better. If they’re training with people that no one has heard of, you should be cautious when betting on them.
Check out whether the fighter has brought a specialist from a different discipline to help him or her prepare for a fight against a specific opponent. These specialists don’t have to be from the MMA world; they could be legends in their respective disciplines.
Don’t rely too much on the fighter’s record. The record can be a good indicator of their performance, but you can’t know for sure how they are going to respond to a specific opponent or a fighting style. You can rely on statistics only if you want to see how they performed against a similar opponent.
Only because the fighter told the reporters on the press conference that he or she is healthy, it doesn’t necessarily mean they are telling the truth. Many fighters are suffering from injuries all the time and you need to find out everything you can about the gravity of the injury and the recovery time.
Sometimes fighters get impatient and rush into the gym before their injury has completely healed. If their injuries didn’t fully heal, that can have a significant impact on the outcome of the match, and, of course, your ticket.
If you see a fighter that suffered from ACL knee injury, showing up in the gym a month later and saying he or she is recovered, avoid betting on them.
Recovery from ACL injuries takes months, possibly years. Some injuries might affect a particular fighting style. For example, if a boxing specialist hurts his or her hand, it will obviously affect their performance. On the other hand, the same injury won’t affect a Jiu-Jitsu fighter to the same extent.
Some coaches have what it takes to adjust to a certain fighter. Coaches have an important role in the fighter’s performance, so it is definitely worthwhile to learn more about the people behind the scenes.